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Fantasy Football Rankings 2021: Sleepers, breakouts, busts from model that called Josh Allen’s big season

Five quarterbacks were selected in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, and now the challenge is figuring out which ones are Fantasy options. Trevor Lawrence will join the Jacksonville Jaguars, Zach Wilson went to the New York Jets, the 49ers took Trey Lance, the Bears traded up to take Justin Fields and Mac Jones slipped into the Patriots‘ hands. So how exactly might one of the most highly-anticipated quarterback classes in recent memory impact your 2021 Fantasy football picks?

Savvy owners are always looking to stay a step ahead of the competition and a reliable set of 2021 Fantasy football rankings can help you find value. They can aid you in the identification of potential 2021 Fantasy football sleepers, breakouts and busts, while also giving you insight on how rookies, trade acquisitions and free agency shakes things up. Before setting your 2021 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2021 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills quarterback Josh Allen was being drastically undervalued. His Fantasy football ADP was barely in the top 70, but the model pegged him as a top-five Fantasy quarterback, a QB1 who would finish well ahead of players like Kyler Murray, Tom Brady and Drew Brees. Allen ended up being the No. 2-scoring Fantasy QB, outscoring all three of those other quarterbacks and even surpassing Patrick Mahomes. Fantasy players who followed SportsLine’s advice reaped plenty of value with that pick. 

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, also identifying A.J. Brown as another sleeper in 2020 and players like Devin Singletary and JuJu Smith-Schuster as busts last season. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2021, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2021 Fantasy football sleepers 

One of the 2021 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk. The former first-round pick out of Arizona State was thrust into a significant role offensively in his rookie season due to a number of injuries at the position in San Francisco and he delivered impressive results with 60 catches for 748 yards and five touchdowns in just 12 games.

Aiyuk was on the field for at least 70 percent of the offensive snaps in every game he played and his 96 total targets included 14 red-zone targets, which were 18th-most among wide receivers in the NFL. Aiyuk figures to be a major part of a Niners offense that should be improved by general health and the hope is that quarterback play will be improved with Jimmy Garoppolo and Lance battling for the starting job. That’s why the model ranks Aiyuk as a top-20 wide receiver even though he’s the 28th receiver off the board on average.

Top 2021 Fantasy football breakouts 

The model is also projecting Falcons rookie tight end Kyle Pitts as one of its top 2021 Fantasy Football breakouts. The former Florida superstar won the John Mackey Award as the nation’s top tight end in 2020 after catching 43 passes for 770 yards and 12 touchdowns. Pitts’ two-year totals as a Gator were an eye-popping 97 catches for 1,419 yards and 17 TDs.

Pitts now slides neatly into Atlanta’s pass-happy offense, giving veteran quarterback Matt Ryan another explosive target. As the fourth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Pitts is the highest-selected tight end in history and carries the requisite expectations. And the SportsLine model sees Pitts exceeding those lofty expectations, ranking the rookie as the fifth-best tight end in its 2021 Fantasy football rankings, ahead of veteran tight ends like Irv Smith and Rob Gronkowski.

Top 2021 Fantasy football busts 

As for players to avoid, the model lists Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Ronald Jones as one of its top 2021 Fantasy football busts. The former second-round pick had the best season of his three-year career in 2020 with 978 rushing yards, eight total touchdowns and 165 yards through the air. He split time in Tampa’s backfield with Leonard Fournette but the former Jaguar out-touched Jones 82-35 during the Bucs’ postseason run.

Fournette re-signed with Tampa and the backfield will get even more complicated as the team added Giovani Bernard as a third-down back. Jones’ ability as a pass-catching back was an advantage he had over Fournette but Bernard could now siphon those opportunities from Jones. There will be a timeshare at the Bucs’ running back position in 2021, and with the team already being pass-heavy, Jones is someone to avoid early in Fantasy football drafts. 

How to find proven 2021 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren’t even thinking about being drafted in the middle rounds of 2021 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-five option ahead of superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Lamar JacksonYou can only see who it is, and the 2020 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2021 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade? And which QB shocks the NFL with a top-five performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2021 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called Josh Allen’s huge season, and find out.



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